Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000141 0.000158 0.000176 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000199 0.000237
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000179 0.000223 0.000280
2024-11-03 0.000062 0.000082 0.000107 0.000141 0.000185 0.000241 0.000317
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000143 0.000196 0.000267 0.000367
2024-11-17 0.000049 0.000071 0.000100 0.000142 0.000203 0.000286 0.000409
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000143 0.000211 0.000307 0.000456
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000092 0.000141 0.000215 0.000324 0.000497
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000220 0.000342 0.000541
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000086 0.000140 0.000226 0.000361 0.000589
2024-12-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000233 0.000382 0.000640
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000140 0.000239 0.000403 0.000693
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000244 0.000421 0.000744
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000044 0.000077 0.000139 0.000251 0.000445 0.000809
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000140 0.000260 0.000472 0.000879
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000138 0.000262 0.000488 0.000933
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000141 0.000274 0.000521 0.001020
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000070 0.000140 0.000278 0.000541 0.001084
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000035 0.000069 0.000140 0.000285 0.000567 0.001162
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000033 0.000067 0.000139 0.000288 0.000585 0.001226
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000031 0.000065 0.000138 0.000292 0.000605 0.001294
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000030 0.000063 0.000137 0.000297 0.000629 0.001373
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000062 0.000138 0.000304 0.000655 0.001459